The new
administration of Philippine President Rodrigo Roa Duterte, through his new
Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana, confirmed that the modernization efforts of
the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) will be continued despite earlier
statements made by the new president regarding the government’s focus on the
fight against internal security challenges, including insurgency and crime,
instead of territorial defense. But also, the new defense secretary clarified that territorial defense won’t be given less priority as is actually among the priorities of the new administration.
Despite the
confusion, the common denominator is that programs of the AFP Modernization
Program’s Horizon 2 phase, which was originally slated to start by 2018 but might be advanced forward to 2017, will continue
with minor tweaks on the acquisition plans depending on the urgency of needs
from the AFP’s requirements.
Thus, the
AFP is compelled to make adjustments to its procurement plans to justify their
use for internal security challenges, while still making sure its relevance as
an asset for territorial defense. Among those that MaxDefense believes the AFP
can use effectively both for internal and external threats was the previously
shelved Shore Based Missile System (SBMS), which is among those approved for
acquisition under the Revised AFP Modernization Program Horizon 1 Phase.
The Shore
Based Missile System: A Background:
MaxDefense
previously discussed the Shore Based Missile System project, which was the most
expensive project in the Philippine Army’s request under the Horizon 1 phase.
It has an Approved Budget for the Contract (ABC) worth Php 6.5 billion, and is
to be procured by direct negotiation under a government-to-government (G2G)
procurement deal with Israel and Israel Military Industries (IMI).
The original
offer made by IMI involves the acquisition of a small battalion, with 2
batteries composed of 2 platoons per battery of mobile guided rocket / missile
system that could be fired against threats from the sea, including ships,
landing crafts, and even fixed positions on sea features. It also involves the
acquisition of a battery of short-range air defense system that will defend the
SBMS against aerial threats.
Each
platoon will have its truck-mounted launchers and ammunition reload
carrier/loader, radar, and platoon fire direction centre, while the battery has
its own command post, FDC, support equipment, forward observation equipment,
and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) for surveillance and target acquisition.
The system
is centred on IMI’s Lynx MLRS modular launch system, which is configured to
fire different rocket and missile systems. To be able to hit small moving
targets at sea, IMI has offered their 306mm EXTRA guided rocket which has a
published range of 150 kilometres, and can carry several types of warheads up
to 120 kilograms.
EXTRA is
guided to its target by a GPS-augmented inertial navigation system developed by
Israeli Aerospace Industries (IAI). According to inside sources, the rocket
adjusts its trajectory as the target’s position changes while in flight. This
results to a circular error probable (CEP) of only 10 meters, although
MaxDefense was informed that actual CEP is lower than published.
The project
was already in the advanced stages when it was cancelled by then PhilippineArmy chief Lt. Gen. Hernando Iriberri for reasons explained in our previous
blog entry. Instead, he proposed to use the Php 6.5 billion budget to frontload
the acquisition of sniper rifles, force protection equipment, and other items
for the Philippine Army that are originally scheduled for acquisition on the
Horizon 2 phase. This proposal was ultimately not approved for implementation
even until now. While the general said he didn’t cancel the project and just
moved it to a later date, the project is still not implemented as of this writing.
The SBMS was discussed previously in a MaxDefense blog, with the link below:
"The Philippine Army's Shore Based Missile System Project, and Issues on Re-Aligning its Budget for Other Projects" - dated July 4, 2015.
"SNAFU in the DND and the Philippine Army for Scrapping its Shore Based Missile System Project for Helmets and Vests" - dated July 9, 2015.
The IMI 303mm EXTRA guided rocket. This has a published range of 150 kilometers, and can hit naval targets as it could adjust its flight trajectory while in flight. Photo from IMI's website. |
The SBMS's Relevance in the AFP Modernization Program's Horizon 1 & 2
Phases:
The
Philippine Army still has a requirement for the Shore Based Missile System (SBMS) under their Capability Upgrade Program's Horizon 2 phase which runs from 2018 to 2022. Based on this, they
are looking to acquire at least 3 batteries of Shore Based Missile System, in addition to the initial requirements posted under the Horizon 1
phase which involved the acquisition of 2 batteries.
This CUP
program still appears to be subject to changes depending on leadership,
planning, requirement, and operational changes and needs. So it is still
possible to revise the requirement depending on the situation.
This year until next year is still covered by the Horizon 1 phase, so technically we can only push for whatever is still left in this phase for implementation immediately.
The Duterte
Presidency - Change Towards Internal Security Challenges:
With Davao
City mayor Rodrigo Duterte becoming the new President of the Republic of the
Philippines, he already mentioned that priority of his administration will beto resolve the internal security challenges, including the defeat of the Abu
Sayyaf Group (ASG) during his term. While his idea might be based on his experience
as a mayor in Mindanao, or possibly due to either lack of information, lack of comprehensive
understanding or briefing of the security challenges of the Philippines, or
because of wrong information fed by people around him (see MaxDefense’s recent
post on the Facebook page wall), the AFP is being limited in its acquisitions. But even so, it needs to push the limits to procure the necessary equipment it needs,
whatever the call for attention is by the current administration.
It is still
too early to say if the president is serious in his previous statements that
external or territorial defense requirements will be given a backseat until he
settles the internal security issues, but the AFP won’t be taking this easily and must act swiftly, smartly, and decisively.
Why Focus
of SBMS?
MaxDefense
chose to discuss the SBMS again because this project is among those already
approved by the government for implementation, and was already previously
allocated with funding based on the ABC previously requested by the DND and
AFP, at Php 6.5 billion.
With Horizon
1 already in its final years, the AFP should implement this project and not put the entire effort to waste. It's still not too late. Discontinuing the project will require the Army to return the budget back to the Department of
Budget Management and it would be difficult to request for funding again next
time. The AFP should also avoid the project from being overtaken by those included in the Horizon 2 phase that are still subject for funding and approval. MaxDefense
believes that the SBMS, even in its current guise, is still relevant to the
challenges that Pres. Duterte wanted to focus with, which will be discussed
later on.
Re-Offering
and Re-Branding the SBMS and Meet New Requirements:
To answer
the calls for equipment that are relevant and highly effective in ensuring the
defeat of internal threats, MaxDefense believes that the SBMS, is still
relevant for use not only against threats from the sea but also land targets.
To make it
palatable to the current administration, MaxDefense proposes the re-branding of
the project, moving away from the Shore Based Missile System name which focuses
on territorial defense against naval threats. The name could be anything, as
long as it sounds focused on internal security operations. MaxDefense proposes
the name “Land Based Missile System (LBMS)” to describe the new system, for the
sake of this discussion.
MaxDefense
proposes that Israel’s SIBAT and IMI retain the system to be offered under the
rebranded project. Everything will be the same: it still consists of the Lynx
truck-mounted launcher system, and will still include the necessary support and
logistics components like reloader, command posts, fire direction centre and
radar systems, forward observation equipment, umanned aerial vehicles, and
communications systems.
Ammunition
will remain, using the 303mm EXTRA guided rocket optimized for use against
ships or hard structures, while also considering the use of smaller guided
rockets like IMI’s Accular, which is available in both 122mm and 160mm calibers
for use against smaller and softer targets like formations, landing crafts, and
soft structures. They could also open the option for the Philippine Army to
acquire small cruise missiles that are compatible with the Lynx launching
system, like the Delilah GL which not only has a longer range at 250 kilometres
(published range) than the EXTRA, but can also pack a larger warhead, and has
smarter capabilities like the ability to loiter for before homing to its
target. This ability of loitering allows the missile to act as a surveillance
system, or to allow the user to shift to a different target based on the data
provided by the missile’s camera.
Also,
allowing the Delilah to be incorporated to the system will allow the missile
system to be true a “missile system”, which employs not only guided rockets,
but actual land-attack cruise missiles.
The Delilah GL cruise missile can be an option for the Philippine Army to acquire later on as the Lynx can also launch them as an alternative to EXTRA, Accular, LAR-160 and Grad. |
The Lynx can be seen here with a mix of Accular guided rocket launch pod (left) and Delilah GL cruise missile launch pod (right) mixed together. |
The SBMS –
Also an Accurate Land Attack Weapon:
Being a
system that can be used to accurately hit naval and sea-based targets like
moving ships and fixed structures on rocks or shoals, the SBMS (or LBMS) can also be
used to hit land targets, be it fixed or mobile. This has been overlooked by
many, even in the AFP, considering that there is not much difference on how the
system works against land and sea targets.
Naval
targets are actually more difficult to hit compared to land targets due to
their nature of moving practically anywhere while in open sea, ability to
detect incoming aerial threats and availability of hard and soft kill systems
especially for surface combatants, and difficulty to provide target coordinates
as there are only a few options to know where the ships are. Only aircraft,
UAVs with surveillance and targeting capability, and long range search radars
could provide information to set the munition’s course.
Meanwhile,
ground targets are normally slow-moving or stationary, normally does not have
detection and kill capabilities, and can be targeted by hidden forward
observers close to the target, which can provide more accurate data to feed the
launchers. MaxDefense also got clarification from Rafael Advance Systems that EXTRA and Accular
does not need radar feed to provide target and guide the munition, as UAVs or
forward observers would be good enough. If the system can effectively hit naval
targets, no doubt it could do better against ground targets.
Considered
as an artillery asset, the SBMS/LBMS can pound soft targets like insurgents
hiding in the thick jungles, and hard fixed targets like encampments, pillboxes
and defensive positions. It also means that the system can be used against more
powerful land threats like enemy armoured, artillery, and infantry formations
that successfully landed on the country’s shores.
Compared to
conventional gun and rocket artillery, the guided rocket systems reduces the
chances of collateral damage as it will be homing on the target accurately with
pinpoint accuracy, and will be able to do so most of the time. It also reduces the need for huge quantities
of munition being launched at a certain coordinate since it only need one or few to hit
a target. In the Philippine setting, this is important, as civilians and
infrastructure are normally close to where terrorist groups hide or operate,
and use of inaccurate artillery like 155mm or 105mm howitzers are dangerous and highly destructive without
ensuring all destruction received by the intended target.
The
SBMS/LBMS Launcher as a Multiple Launch Rocket System:
Aside from
being a component of the SBMS/LBMS, the IMI's Lynx launching system can also be
utilized by the Philippine Army for its Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS)
requirement, which is among those planned for acquisition under the Horizon 2
and 3 phases of the Philippine Army Capability Upgrade Program. For Horizon 2,
the Army intends to acquire 3 batteries, with each battery probably consisting of around 6 mobile launchers.
As an MLRS,
the Lynx can utilize standard 122mm GRAD with high explosive warhead, or the
larger 160mm IMI LAR-160 Mk. IV artillery rockets, which can carry
submunitions. A single standard Lynx truck-mounted launching system can carry
two launch pod containers, with each container being to hold 20 122mm GRAD or
13 LAR-160 rockets. Larger 220mm Uragan unguided rockets can also be used by
Lynx with only minimum adjustments needed, and up to 4 can be carried by a
single launch pod container.
This
capability is in addition to the use of guided rockets like EXTRA and Accular,
and the Delilah GL cruise missile. Since each truck-mounted launcher can carry
2 launch pod container, the user has the option to mix and match the different
rocket systems as necessary.
Other Purposes of the System:
Another important acquisition that is included in this project is the presence of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) in the equation. These UAVs are small, silent, and are designed to operate for up to 7 hours, and has enough range to reach more than the maximum range of the EXTRA guided rocket and loiter for target acquisition and post attack surveillance.
This means that not only are they useful for the SBMS/LBMS, but could also be used for surveillance missions on areas where suspected rebels are hiding or operating. Even without the need to launch the rockets/missiles, the UAV can provide information to ground commanders. It would allow for an unrelenting and continuous flow of information that will allow the AFP to operate continuous with relentless day and night operations that will surely tire the enemy into submission.
Surveillance and targeting UAVs could provide accurate information day and night, and will provide the targeting information for the launching system. |
Approval Under the Duterte Administration?
MaxDefense believes that the Philippine Army's leadership is actually open to the product since a few years ago, and a proposal to return it back to the priority acquisition under the still unfinished Horizon 1 phase is expected to be accepted gladly for implementation.
Being a weapon system that can be used both for internal and external security threats, MaxDefense believes that this project will have no problem getting re-approval for implementation, as long as it meets the same Approved Budget for the Contract (ABC) as previously provided to avoid further complicating the project with delays to approve funding and adjustments.
MaxDefense sources confirmed that the system can be delivered quickly once a contract, letter of credit, and notice to proceed is provided to the supplier, Israel Military Industries. Additional orders under Horizon 2 will also be easy as the Israeli Ministry of Defense has been very active in pursuing the export of their homegrown defense products to the Philippines. So far they have been the fastest to react to the new challenges and changes in the government, and is expected to make headway in other expected projects too.
But its up to the people above the AFP, the ones that say if a project is good to go or not, if this project will proceed this time or not.Ultimately its still up to the people of the AFP and DND to justify the need for their projects before the agencies involved.
Being a weapon system that can be used both for internal and external security threats, MaxDefense believes that this project will have no problem getting re-approval for implementation, as long as it meets the same Approved Budget for the Contract (ABC) as previously provided to avoid further complicating the project with delays to approve funding and adjustments.
MaxDefense sources confirmed that the system can be delivered quickly once a contract, letter of credit, and notice to proceed is provided to the supplier, Israel Military Industries. Additional orders under Horizon 2 will also be easy as the Israeli Ministry of Defense has been very active in pursuing the export of their homegrown defense products to the Philippines. So far they have been the fastest to react to the new challenges and changes in the government, and is expected to make headway in other expected projects too.
But its up to the people above the AFP, the ones that say if a project is good to go or not, if this project will proceed this time or not.Ultimately its still up to the people of the AFP and DND to justify the need for their projects before the agencies involved.