Your 1st for Philippine Defense

Austal leads Philippine Navy's OPV Acquisition Project!

SecDef Lorenzana confirms Austal is still the preferred OPV supplier for the PN

The Philippine Navy commissions its 2nd Jose Rizal-class frigate!

The Philippine Navy welcomes BRP Antonio Luna (FF-151), its newest frigate!

The Philippine Navy selects Shaldag Mk. V for Fast Attack Interdiction Craft!

The DND has awarded the FAIC-M Acquisition Project to Israel Shipyards

The Philippine Air Force wants more Black Hawk helicopters!

The Philippine Air Force asks for more Black Hawks to allow the retirement of their Bell UH-1 Huey fleet

The Philippine Army orders the Sabrah Light Tank System from Israel!

Israel's Elbit Systems was declared the winner to supply light tanks to the PA

The Philippine Air Force receives full order of Hermes 900 and Hermes 450 UAVs!

All 9 Hermes 900 and 4 Hermes 450 MALE UAVs have been received by the PAF!


Showing posts with label navantia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label navantia. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

A Frigate for $200 Million for the Philippine Navy? Why Not!

For all the doubting Thomases following the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) Modernization Program, the question whether the Philippine Navy's budget of Php 18 billion (around $400 million) for 2 brand new frigates is enough has been asked for almost forever since they announced the existence of such acquisition project. With the DND recently announcing that awarding for the project is not possible within this year, it is timely to discuss the issue here @ MaxDefense.


An Incheon-class frigate of the ROKN.
photo taken from Flicker account of the Korean Ministry of Defense.


Before anything else, MaxDefense suggests that readers go through earlier blog entries related to this project, listed as follows:

1. An In-Depth Look at the Philippine Navy Frigate Program of 2013 - an initial analysis made by MaxDefense in the absence of technical specifications, and basing it on the capabilities found on the Maestrale-class frigates.

2. Philippine Navy Frigate Acquisition Project - An Analysis of the 1st-Stage Bidding Specifications - discusses the background of the project, the initial technical specifications released by the PN and DND, and an analysis of what can be expected based on these information.

3. Updates on Philippine Navy's Frigate Acquisition: 6 Bidders Qualified for the 2nd Bid Stage - discussed the pre- and post- bidding results of the 1st stage bidding done on December 2013, and an analysis of what the bidders could be offering.

Further reading and research is also advised, as there are many discussions made with regards to the Philippine Navy Frigate Acquisition Project.


The Kamorta-class large ASW corvette. Garden Reach of India is among those bidding for the PN's frigate project, and MaxDefense believes that they could be offering a variant of this warship.




Corvette vs Frigate: which is which?
There is a very thin veil separating the classification of small warships as either corvettes or frigates, and the Philippine Navy's new frigate may fall somewhere in this category. 

A discussion to explain this issue will actually take up a lot of reading, and MaxDefense would rather refer its readers to an interesting entry regarding the separation of Offshore Patrol Vessels from Corvettes from Frigates:

What is a Corvette? And What Next? - an entry for Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), by Chuck Hill of Chuck Hill's CG Blog.

Based on the link above, it shows that size itself will not be a singular determinant on a ship's classification. It would not really matter much if the ship will actually be considered a large corvette or a light frigate, but will be determined more according to its mission profile. Since it is also up to the PN to determine if the ship is to be considered a corvette or a frigate, then this could probably be considered a light multipurpose frigate that will be tasked to do combat, patrol, and escort missions. Following the PN's own Fleet Desired Force Mix whitepaper, this specific frigate project is actually closer to their requirement for an Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) corvette as the requirement for frigates actually emphasizes the mission profile to specialize in Anti-Aircraft Warfare (AAW). 

Per MaxDefense sources, the PN is likely to choose a design with a lot of future-proof capability to accept planned systems which was also indicated in the first stage bidding technical specifications, in a similar way that the British did with their Type 45 destroyers, or the Thais did with their Naresuan-class frigate. Also, the requirement for high sea state capability together with capability to mount more weapons systems plus allowance for future-proofing means that the ship should have sufficient size. It is expected that the ships would definitely be larger than most current corvettes in service with other navies like the Indonesian Diponegoro-class and even the new DSME-designed ships recently announced by the Royal Malaysian Navy.


The closest comparison MaxDefense can make of the PN frigate is that of Indonesia's ongoing PKR Frigate Project based on Damen's SIGMA 10514 design, which was estimated to cost between $220-250 million.



Background of the Frigate Acquisition Project:
The Philippine Navy (PN) originally planned to acquire two used Maestrale-class frigates that the Italian Navy was planning to retire starting late 2013. The budget allocated by the PN and DND was Php 12 billion for the two ships, training of crew and shipyard maintenance teams, refurbishing works, replacement of several electrical, electronic, and mechanical systems, spare parts, and a limited logistics support package. But the Philippines dropped the plan in 2013, which was discussed in a previous MaxDefense blog. Although the PN and DND did not confirm the exact reasons, all those pointed out on the previous blog entry seem to support the decision.



1. The Hyundai Offer:
Apparently, the Koreans, be it the Korean government (or any of its agencies), or Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI), provided details and solicited offers to the DND and PN to sell a variant of their HDF-3000 frigate design for around Php 18 billion for 2 units. A juicy offer, plus all other negative reasons regarding the Maestrale-class' physical condition and deal details, made the DND and PN decide to go for new frigates by just adding Php 6 billion to its war chest.


The 2nd of class Incheon-class frigate, ROKS Gyeonggi (FFG-812) was built by Hyundai Heavy Industries.


(The Hyundai HDF-3000 frigate is the base design used for the used for the Incheon-class frigate of the Republic of Korea Navy)

Based on this reason alone, it already shows that the Philippine Navy can get an Incheon-class frigate derivative with its budget, even without a bidding. Previous accounts suggest that a standard ROKN Incheon-class frigate cost slightly higher than Php 9 billion each, the Philippine variant can be worth less due to its minimum initial specifications as compared to its Korean variant, an example of which is having only a 76mm rapid firing main gun instead of a larger 127mm gun.


2. Others Answered the Philippine Navy's Call:
To further maximize its budget, the DND decided to go for tender acquisition process instead of going directly with HHI's offer. They used the same budget and technical specifications that was loosely based on the HDF-3000 offer, with hope that there are other shipbuilders and suppliers willing to provide a product within the same parameters as what HHI offered earlier within the allocated budget.  

Based on the description provided on initial technical specifications, it can be categorized either as a corvette or a light frigate, depending on the size of the ship which was not provided. MaxDefense sources confirmed that the PN is giving priority to design allowances for future growth instead of a design that is compact, giving offers whose design exceed the marginal length of 100 meters. Nonetheless, this is not an issue as the ships are design-optimized for maritime patrol, anti-submarine warfare (ASW) and anti-surface warfare (ASuW), with limited anti-aircraft warfare (AAW) defensive capability. To note, the Philippine Navy's Fleet Desired Force Mix strategy whitepaper actually listed 12 anti-submarine corvettes or light frigates in its projected requirement together with 6 more frigates optimized for air defense.


Although Navantia's Avante 2200 Combatant design appear to be smaller than HHI's HDF-3000, as long as it meets the requirements set by the Philippine Navy for its light frigate requirement, then it is acceptable.


With 6 shipbuilders from Korea, Spain, France and India confirming their ability to provide a ship that meets the PN's initial terms of reference and budget, it only proves that what the PN wanted can be had for around $400 million. These shipbuilders are not stupid to enter such tender without knowing the risks of swallowing a contract they can't complete. Thus, not only is the budget capable of getting a HHI frigate, it can also buy the PN a frigate made by any of the shipbuilders that passed the first stage bidding, namely Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering, STX Offshore & Shipbuilding, STX France SA, Navantia-Grupo SEPI, and Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers.


Garden Reach's latest product, the Kamorta-class large ASW corvette for the Indian Navy. MaxDefense speculated that they could be offering a variant of this design to the PN's frigate acquisition project.
Photo taken from GRSE website.




3. Separation of Budget to Acquire the Frigate Hull and Weapons Systems:
Another recent adjustments made by the PN and DND was to separate the budget to acquire the frigate hull from that of the weapons systems and ammunition. 

After the presentations made by shipbuilders prior to finalization of the final terms of reference for the 2nd stage bidding, it was found out that they would encounter problems if shipbuilders will be tasked to acquire the weapons systems for frigates. There are unforeseen limitations on this acquisition set-up, and it was acknowledged by the DND that it would be best to have the weapons systems procured separately by the Philippine government, although installation can still be made by the winning shipbuilder or a selected systems integrator. 

No doubt, there were deficiencies on the Technical Working Group (TWG) tasked with this acquisition project, which is attributed to their lack of experience in similar projects before. It should be taken note that this is the first time the PN is acquiring a modern surface combatant in its recent history, and prior to that all major surface combat assets of the PN were handed over by the US Navy and US Coast Guard. But this serves as an important lesson to the country's defense planners, which they could now consider for future similar acquisition projects.


This definitely delays the project, but it does not cancel it as speculated by many people including people with previous military and government background. The changes actually gave the DND and PN a chance to catch-up with all the delays to allow the awarding of the ship hull while the PN still decides and negotiates for the weapons system.


The MBDA MM40 Exocet anti-ship missile are among those being considered to be installed on the upcoming new frigates of the Philippine Navy.


MaxDefense sources indicate that the Philippine government has already made several steps to overcome obstacles in acquiring advanced ship-based weapons systems. The recent signing of the Philippines-France Defense Cooperation Agreement this year is an example of such accomplishments to allow the Philippines to acquire weapons systems from France.



4. The Frigate Acquisition as a Major Priority Project of the Aquino Administration:
Among the major projects championed by President Benigno Aquino III includes this frigate acquisition project. This is evident by the continued announcements made by the president in his State of the Nation Addresses, speeches on major military and security events, and press releases by the government. Canceling this project for any reasons except from opposition from Congress or Senate will definitely have a negative impact on the current administration's ability to provide the Armed Forces of the Philippines the equipment they need to accomplish their mandate. 

MaxDefense believes that the current administration will do all means necessary to push for the awarding and contract signing of this project within the 1st half of 2015 to allow for a major accomplishment (launching or delivery) of the first unit before Pres. Aquino steps down by mid-2016.




So is the PN Frigate Project just another OPV?
There were several opinions made by other analysts and discussions in several websites stating that the Philippine Navy's requirement might be more of an Offshore Patrol Vessel rather than a frigate. But MaxDefense beg to disagree on this. 

In 2011, the US Naval Sea Systems Command released a Request for Information (RFI) regarding the possibility of a Philippine Navy acquisition of at least 2 Offshore Patrol Vessels. The projected specifications had a lot of difference from the PN's current frigate base specifications. The only similarity are the sea state requirement for operation, and the gun systems calibers and numbers. Differences can be seen on the requirements on speed, range, physical dimensions (the PN did not specified the exact dimension requirements for the frigate, but it is expected to be higher than what was requested in the RFI), guided weapons, and other details that were obviously less than those required on the frigate. The RFI actually gave a glimpse of what the PN might be looking for its future OPV requirement, and its dissimilarity from that of the current frigate requirement obviously separates the 2 projects as one and the same.

Also based on the RFI, it appears to be smaller compared to other OPVs in the region like the New Zealand Navy's Protector-class, the Royal Malaysian Navy's Kedah-class, and the Royal Thailand Navy's (RTN) Krabi-class, which was based on BAE Systems' own design with a similar design is used by Brazil as the Amazonas-class. According to multiple open sources, the Thais only spent around $85 million for each of the Krabi-class OPV, complete with its full systems complement. This is less than half of the budget allocated by the Philippine Navy for each of the frigates without weapons systems @ $175 million. The Amazonas-class were originally built by BAE Systems as the Port of Spain-class for Trinidad and Tobago Coast Guard, and each of the ships costed them £50 million ($81.5 million) each in 2009Even if you consider inflation and price adjustments due to time, it is still far less than the frigate budget. 


The Krabi-class OPV of the Royal Thai Navy.


Another point of comparison is the recently chosen OPV for the Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) to be built by French shipbuilder OCEA, which will cost around $113 million together with 4 smaller 24-meter patrol boats. It is expected that the OPV-270 design will only be less than $75 million.

Based on the aspects of costs and previous specifications for OPV requirements, it is acceptable to say that the current frigate acquisition project is not for an OPV, but for a surface combatant, either a large corvette or a light frigate, but will also be capable of doing patrol and EEZ protection duties. 



...But Other Frigate Projects Exceed $200 million apiece!
There are comparisons made during discussions to other frigate projects worldwide using the budget allocated by the DND and PN for the frigate acquisition. And it appears that the PN's budget of $200 million for a single frigate is too low.


Previous studies were made wherein they concluded that increasing the hull size was a cheap option, thus increasing the hull size to frigates size will not significantly increase the cost. But the bigger the hull, the heavier the ship is, and if the PN wanted a ship with speed to match its size, then a higher output engine aside from the usual cruising diesel engines is needed. This is where MaxDefense believes the ship's cost will escalate.Further price escalations will be coming from the electronics, mechanical, electrical, and sensors/detection system to be installed in the ship. Although the base specs indicated a minimum 2D search radar, MaxDefense believes that the PN would be getting at least a 3D air-surface search radar which is the current standard nowadays.

Without the weapons, $175 million would not give the PN much wiggle room, but would definitely be enough to build a frigate without its weapons systems. But it would depend on who will supply the ship as building it in Europe or other advanced countries may escalate the price due to production costs. This would have a negative impact for Navantia and STX France which are planning to build the ships in Europe. This could change if they are willing to build the ships on their partner shipyards in Asia.

What actually concerns MaxDefense is the $25 million allocated for the weapons systems and ammunition. But the separation of the weapons systems from the frigates may actually give a new hope that the PN could actually provide more to arm the ships properly. Being a separate project, the DND and PN has the option to improve the budget allocation without affecting the schedule of the frigate construction. If the PN cannot allocate enough budget to fully arm the ships upon its commissioning, then it would be capped in the meantime to limited roles although the allowances in its design will allow future growth should the budget allows.




Latest News Confirmed Earlier Analysis:
The latest press release made by the DND c/o USec. Fernando Manalo is a relieving news, a sign that the DND and PN has not abandoned the project after awarding has been delayed for several months now. It also confirmed that they are indeed using a revised terms of reference (which includes a technical specification molded by the inputs of all the shortlisted shipbuilders) which will give to rest to the speculation that the frigate will be nothing more but a OPV with bells and whistles. 

With a new target of 2015, which collaborates with all other MaxDefense sources from both DND and PN, it is still possible to actually have a major accomplishment made by mid 2016. There are certain bidders that can actually complete an entire frigate from the ceremonial steel cutting until launching in less than a year, and delivery period can be also be a consideration on choosing the winning bidder.

So let us be more patient in awaiting for a positive outcome of this acquisition project. If this proves to be successful, succeeding major ship acquisition projects would definitely be easier and take shorter to complete next time.



==========
UPDATES:
==========
April 20, 2015:
For archive purposes, MaxDefense has decided to update the frigate project with the last information released to the public.

Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI):
During the ADAS 2014 Exhibition, HHI executives confirmed to IHS Jane's that they were offering a variant of their HDF-3000 frigate design to the Philippine Navy. This is the design used by the Republic of Korea Navy for their Incheon-class frigate. According to HHI, the design will integrate specific requirements of the Philippine Navy, including the weapons and sensor systems they intend to install according to the mission profile intended. 

Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers (GRSE):
IHS Jane's confirmed that GRSE was indeed offering a variant of their Kamorta-class ASW corvette to the Philippine Navy. Further information revealed that they were offering the ship with the Tacticos combat management system from Thales, and that they have already teamed-up with a local shipyard to provide the long-term logistics and maintenance support should the contract be awarded to GRSE. 





Sunday, August 10, 2014

Updates on Philippine Navy's Frigate Acquisition: 4 6 Bidders Qualified for the 2nd Bid Stage

===========================================================
Blogger's note: This blog entry was originally posted on December 12, 2013.
An updated blog entry will be released later on. - MaxDefense
===========================================================

The 1st stage of the bidding process for the acquisition of frigates for the Philippine Navy commenced on December 4, 2013. Out of the 14 entities that bought the bid documents, only 7 submitted their bids, and as follows (see links as well):


3. Hyundai Heavy Industries (South Korea);
4. Navantia - SEPI (Spain);
5. STX France SA (France);


DSME's FFX Batch 2 frigate.
Photo taken from Ambassador @ Military Photos forum.

Unfortunately, only 4 of the 7 submitted bids were deemed qualified by the DND's Bids and Awards Committee (BAC), with the 3 companies said to have been unqualified were India's Garden Reach S&E, STX France, and Germany's ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems. Deficiencies were found on the submitted bids of the said entities, but the DND allowed them to file a motion for reconsideration. The deadline for the said MFR was not publicly known, but it would definitely be soon due to the urgency of the project. MaxDefense hopes that these 3 companies could hurdle the said deficiencies as it's believed that their offers can improve the competitiveness of the acquisition project.
(Update: of the 3 disqualified bidders, 2 were reconsidered by the DND-BAC. These are Garden Reach S&E of India, and STX France.)

In addition, there were also 7 other entities that bought the bid documents from the DND but did not submit a bid. The following entities are:

1. Damen Shipyards Group (Netherlands);
2. DCNS (France)
3. Fincantieri S.p.A. (Italy);
4. Magazon Dock - Pipavav Ltd. (India);
5. Piriou Naval Services (France);
7. Stone of David (Philippines).

Too bad that most European shipbuilders like Damen Schelde did not submit a bid, so we will not see the SIGMA family, like the offer to Indonesia (above) as among the candidates.

With the latest updates on the competitors, MaxDefense could further improve its earlier analysis and assessment on the possible designs that will be offered for the said project. It appears that MaxDefense was able to hit some of the companies, but also missed on several. Among those absent on the list of companies that bought the bid documents as compared to the earlier MaxDefense analysis are the following: Huntington Ingalls Shipbuilding and Lockheed Martin from the United States, and Austal from Australia. Another expected bidder that was not in the earlier MaxDefense listing is Singapore's ST Marine Ltd., and Korea's Hanjin Heavy Industries, which has a shipyard in Subic Bay. It is also surprising to see previously "unknowns" like France's Piriou Naval Services and Rouvia Defense from the Philippines, as these 2 companies are not know to have built frigates or similar-sized warships before. Rouvia Defense is actually a sister company or subsidiary of Rouvia Yachts based in Bataan, which specializes in luxury yachts and boats for foreign markets. 


In the absence of ST Marine of Singapore, we won't be seeing their New Generation Frigate (right) being offered to the Philippine Navy. 


Recap of What the PN is actually looking for:
Previously MaxDefense discussed what the Philippine Navy is actually looking for, and was actually repeated several times in several blogs related to frigates and this particular project. A brief summary of those commentaries are the following:

- Previous DND announcements have pointed that the ship may have a displacement of at least 2,000 tons, a length greater than 100 meters (as discussed HERE),
- The PN may opt to use similar equipment to what it already has, like the 76mm Oto Melara gun, the Mk. 38 Mod. 2 or DS30 Seahawk stabilized closed in gun mounts, and others weapons, sensors and electronic systems (as discussed HERE);
- The PN, with its Desired Force Mix whitepaper, has a requirement for 6 Anti-Aircraft Warfare (AAW) frigates, and 12 Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) corvettes.
- Although the specifications is similar to a previous Request For Information (RFI) submitted by the US Navy's Naval Sea Systems Command for a possible PN OPV requirement, it appears that this project is a more capable design than the said OPV. Thus this is not just a "glorified OPV" so to say (as discussed HERE);

and finally:

- With the specifications and budget allocated for this specific acquisition project, it appears that this is closer to the ASW corvette than the AAW frigate (as discussed HERE); 



Updated Analysis on the Bidders and Products:
A revised possible offers from the qualified bidders is now possible, and MaxDefense believes that these are the following products:


1. Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering Co. Ltd. (DSME)
DSME is the world's 2nd largest shipbuilder and was also one of the participants in the Ulsan-class frigate project of the ROKN in the 1980s. They are also known for their recent frigate contracts with the Royal Thai Navy and Republic of Korea Navy with its DW-3000H and FFX-2 designs, respectively. 

For the Philippine Navy, it is unexpected for DSME to offer these designs exactly as they are due to costs and technical requirements. MaxDefense believes that they will be offering at least 1 of 2 possible designs: a derivative of their DW-2500 frigate design which was originally offered to a neighboring navy before, or a reduced capability variant of the new and larger FFX Batch 2 frigate.


DSME officials disucssing with the Philippine Navy top brass early this year to discuss matters pertaining to the PN's modernization and asset acquisition plans, which probably included the frigate project.
Photo taken from the Philippine Navy's official Facebook page.

a. DW-2500H derivative - this is a design DSME reportedly offered to Thailand some years ago, and has a full load displacement of around 2,500 tons. It is actually an upsized derivative of the Bangladeshi Navy's Bangabandhu-class frigate which was based on the smaller DW-2000H design. The DW-2500H has a CODAD propulsion and can reach speeds of up to 28 knots and can carry a medium-sized naval helicopter. Based on the photo below, it appears that the ship's length is a little more than 100 meters, and is armed with a 76mm main gun, 2 8-cell VLS in the B-position, 2 x quad AShM launchers and 2 x triple torpedo tube launchers at midships, and 2 x medium caliber secondary guns, probably 40mm guns from Hyundai WIA acting as a CIWS system.  MaxDefense believes that this is the closest ship that DSME has to offer to the PN, but may not have enough growth margin for future development.


The DW-2500 was offered to Thailand before choosing the newer and larger KDX-II derivative design. It is the closest design that DSME may offer according to the PN requirements and budget.
Photo taken from thaifighterclub.org.

* Possible changes for the PN may include the absence of the 2 x 8-cell VLS in favor of a simpler, cheaper multiple VSHORAD missle system launcher, reduction of the number of SSM launchers, and the replacement of the 40mm CIWS system with a smaller PN-specific model although the chances of it being retained is also high. 

b. FFX Batch 2 derivative - if the PN is luckier, DSME may also offer the new FFX-2 design with reduced capability, only retaining the hull but only meeting the minimum requirements with regards to the sensors, weapons, and EW systems. Unlike the older DW-2500H light frigate design, the new FFX-2 design is physically larger, heavier, has a sleeker stealthy design, and has a larger future growth margin. MaxDefense believes that this can still be possibly offered by DSME since the PN has put emphasis on the future requirements which may need a large growth margin allowance for additional weapons and sensory systems as the PN tries to catch-up in the future. The PN may be pointing to a larger hull, ready to accept future upgrades with suffering from space shortage and weight considerations. 

* Possible items for replacement include the LIG Nex1 3D surveillance radar with a 2D variant, the 127mm main gun to a 76mm as specified either the 76mm Super Rapid from Oto Melara or a similar design from Hyundai WIA; the use of a automated 4-shot missile launcher for VSHORAD missile  system similar to LIG Nex1's Chiron MMS instead of the KVLS system; removal of the ROKN-specified Mk. 15 Phalanx CIWS and replaced by a system similar to the Mk. 38 Mod. 2; and reduction of anti-ship missile launchers to only 4 tubes. 

A FFX Batch II hull but with reduced weapons and sensors capability can also be offered by DSME, as it is physically larger than the DW-2000 frigate design, and will be able to take in the initial requirements and still have weight and space allowances for future upgrades.
Photo taken from Ambassador @ Military Photos.net forum.

Special mention:
DW-2000H derivative - this is actually a late 1990s design that was constantly updated by DSME for future projects. It is actually another derivative of the late 1970s Ulsan-class frigate design of the ROKN. Although it eerily has almost everything the PN is looking for, MaxDefense sources say that it doesn't have the capability to carry a 10-ton naval helicopter and cannot meet the range and endurance requirements as specified by the PN.  


The BNS Bangabandhu (F-25), the most modern frigate of the Bangladesh Navy, is actually based on the DW-2000 light frigate design. It lacks some of the requirements of the PN so it may not be offered



2. Hyundai Heavy Industries Co. Ltd. (HHI)
The world's largest shipbuilder, and is very familiar to MaxDefense readers due to its early involvement in the PN Frigate acquisition project when they reportedly offered the HDF-3000 design (more commonly known as the FFX-1 Incheon-class) at the same time as when the Italians are on talks with the DND for the Maestrale-class frigates. MaxDefense sources earlier pointed out that this was actually the major template of the PN's budget and technical specifications for its frigate program: the PN found out that it can actually buy a new frigate with such limited budget. But just in case, HHI may also offer a cheaper alternative, depending on what they believe fit the requirement and budget.

a. HDF-3000 derivative - this is actually the model name of HHI's FFX-1 offering that ultimately became the Incheon-class frigate. It actually fits exactly on what the PN is looking for, but a reduced capability derivative may be offered instead to be within budget. The only problem with this design is in its growth margin allowances and space availability: it may be unable to accept a VLS system due to its tight space, unless if the PN opt to go for a RAM system in the future. HHI may also make modifications on its helicopter carrying capacity which requires it to take in a 10-ton model.

* Possible systems for replacement are the 127mm gun to a 76mm rapid fire main gun, the RAM system to a 4-shot VSHORAD system, the ROKN-specified Mk. 15 Phalanx with a PN-specified stabilized weapon mount, reduction of number of SSM tubes and missiles, and the downgrade of the radar system instead of using the LIG Nex1 3D surveillance radar system. 


The HDF-3000 design was used by the ROKN for its FFX-1 Incheon-class frigate. According to sources, this was actually the template for the PN's own frigate technical specifications.
Photo taken from Navyrecognition.com c/o Jager.

b. HDF-2000 derivative - unknown to many, HHI is still currently offering a smaller frigate design known as the HDF-2000, which is smaller, probably cheaper, and is a derivative of the ROKN's Ulsan-class frigate (which was actually built by several shipbuilders, including HHI and DSME). Physically it looks closer to the old Ulsan-class than DSME's DW-2000H design, down from the high position of the bridge, the position of the midship funnel, and the replacement of the aft with a hangar and helideck instead of more weapons stations. Speculatively it may have the same dimensions features and performance as the old Ulsan-class, such as the use of the CODOG propulsion and speeds of up to 33 knots, while also being more automated to reduce crew. Due to its similarity to DSME's DW-2000H design, it is not confirmed by MaxDefense if the ship is capable of carrying the required helicopter tonnage as well as the space requirements.


The HDF-2000 looks strikingly similar to the old ROKN Ulsan-class frigate (shown above), with an updated and smoother design, and replacement of the aft weapons stations with a hangar and helicopter deck. It is physically smaller than the HDF-3000 and may be a cheaper alternative if HHI finds the HDF-3000 disadvantageous for them.



3. Navantia - Sociedad Estatal de Participaciones Industriales (Navantia-SEPI)
Spain's largest and foremost naval shipbuilders is the only non-Korean bidder to break into the qualified list. Navantia is famous with their export of frigates, aircraft carriers and amphibious assault ships to Australia, Thailand and Norway. There have been earlier reports that they have offered the Avante 1800 to the Philippine Navy for its other naval requirements (probably as corvettes or offshore patrol vessels), but missed on Navantia's offer of an Avente 2200 derivative for its light frigate requirements. 

a. Avante 2200 derivative - this is the closest model from the Navantia's Avante line of patrol and combatant vessels that may suit the PN's requirements. Compared to the smaller Aante 1800 (discussed HERE previously), it has a larger dimension and heavier tonnage, has more spaces, and can meet the range and endurance requirements of the PN. A derivative of the Avante 2200 was also sold to the Venezuelan Navy a few years back.


Navantia's Avante 2200 is the most probable design they can offer to the PN. The photo above shows the Venezuelan derivative, and the PN version may include heavier weapons and sensors systems.
Photo taken from Navantia website.

It is possible that Navantia would make use of European weapons and sensors system, which may probably include missile systems from MBDA (probably Exocet Blk. 2 and Mistral VSHORAD missile systems), MU90 lightweight torpedoes, 76mm Oto Melara Super Rapid main gun, and mostly radar and sensors from either Thales or Selex. 



4. STX Offshore & Shipbuilding Co. Ltd. (STX)
STX is the 4th largest shipbuilding company in the world, as is actually the mother company of STX France. They may share the same designs and it is possible that they will actually offer a similar design, with STX offering more Korean systems in its offer. Previously unexpected by MaxDefense to join due to their limited participation in defense projects, but may gain from the vast experiences of defense shipbuilding of STX France being the builder of several warships for the French Navy.

MaxDefense is actually blur on what STX may offer since they have not been in the frigate business for some time, although it be possible for them to offer a design derived from HHI's HDF-3000 being the announced builders for the 4th and 5th units of the FFX Batch 1 Incheon-class frigates for the ROKN. 

a. HHI HDF-3000 derivative - being one of the appointed builders of the FFX Batch 1 Incheon-class frigate for the ROKN, it is highly possible that STX may be allowed to use the base design of the ship from HHI, with some design modifications coming from STX. It may also have the same systems as the HDF-3000 offer from HHI although it is possible that they will try to undertake HHI in some way or another.


A Hyundai HDF-3000 derived frigate from STX? Unimaginable, but possible. STX is the builder of the 4th and 5th units of the FFX Batch 1 Incheon-class frigates, whose design was from HHI. It may be possible for STX to use the design with some modifications.

If this pushes through, expect a very similar fit-out of weapons and sensors system as HHI's offer, mostly Korean-made systems.

b. KCG 3,000-ton Patrol Vessel derivative - STX was awarded a contract to build two 3,000-ton offshore patrol vessel for the Korean Coast Guard, which is actually a design shared with one of its competitor HHI. This design, with further design changes to meet naval requirements, may be used by the shipbuilder for its frigate offer to the Philippine Navy. 
HHI built this specific unit, but STX was also awarded to build 2 units of the same 3,000-ton patrol vessel design. A navalized derivative based on this design may be offered by STX.
Photo taken from Korea Coast Guard website.



Although the chances of the 3 other bidders are slim, it would be best to also discuss here what they may be offering the Philippine Navy if the Motion for Reconsideration they will file/filed is approved:



5. Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. (GRSE)
Although the name sounds more farm than sea, GSRE is actually one of India's more experienced naval shipbuilders and has experience in building frigate-sized vessels for the Indian Navy. 

a. Kamorta-class large corvette derivative - this is currently the newest design from GSRE that is within the specified requirements of the PN. Actually considered as an ASW corvette for the Indian Navy, the base design can actually be modified to suit the PN needs. The original Kamorta-class uses a mixture of Indian, Russian and Israeli systems, although it is possible for GSRE to modify their design and remove Russian and even Indian systems from their offer*. At around 109 meters long and a displacement of 2,500 tons, this corvette is actually on the same size category as its frigate competitors from Korea and Europe. A recent grounding during sea trials may also not be helpful to GSRE as it was found that there were mechanical problems encountered that caused the accident.


A scale model of the Kamorta-class ASW corvette. GSRE reportedly offered a derivative of this design, which may probably not include Russian and several Indian-made systems.
Photo taken from thaifighterclub forums.

* Russian weapons systems like the AK-630M CIWS, RBU-6000 anti-submarine rocket launcher, and Klub AShM systems can be replaced by similar systems from Israel like the Typhoon stabilized gun and Gabriel 5 - Advanced Naval Attack Missile. The Barak air defense missile system from Israel may be retained. Radars, sonar, EW, CMS, and other electronic systems from India may also be replaced by either Israeli systems from IAI-Elta or European systems from Thales.


6. STX France SA
The European sub-company of Korea's STX Offshore & Shipbuilding, based in France is one of Europe's foremost shipbuilders. Like its Korean mother company, STX France has its share of building frigate-sized naval vessels although it is possible that they would be offering a similar design as their Korean counterparts. 


7. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems GmbH
The German shipbuilder ThyssenKrupp is well known for its MEKO series of vessels that has been updated for almost 30 years to suit different requirements of navies around the world. The MEKO series is one of the most successful naval products and new products have been unveiled to make them competitive in an ever-changing world market.

a. Blohm+Voss MEKO A100 corvette series - a smaller derivative of the more expensive MEKO A200 frigate series, this might be the best offer ThyssenKrupp may offer. It may definitely be made to fit the PN's budget, at the same time meet its requirements. It is only around 98 meters long, range and endurance that meet the PN requirement, and has a displacement of around 2,400 tons although these can all be adjusted if necessary. It has the capability to handle 1 or even 2 10-ton helicopters, and can be fitted with the weapon and sensors systems specified by the PN. The Royal Malaysian Navy actually uses the MEKO A100 design as its Kedah-class patrol vessels which are actually neutered corvettes.


A rendering of the Blohm+Voss MEKO A100 corvette with full equipment.
Photo taken from ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems website.

It is possible that like most of its customers, ThyssenKrupp may offer the ship together with systems from MBDA and Thales, although the shipbuilder may also use other systems depending on the requirement.



Associated Ship Systems:
Other than the ships themselves, the weapons and sensors systems can also be analyzed based on the shipbuilders. Most notable is the presence of all Korean companies that bought the bid documents which will probably be using Korean or French-made systems based on their previous products.

LIG Nex1
This new Korean company is actually in the forefront of the Korean electronic and missile system technology, and has a complete range of products to offer. Their products would likely be included in most of the Korean frigate offers which may include but not limited on the following products: 
- SLQ-300(V) Sonata EW Suite;
- Next Generation Milsatcom Systems;
- Ulsan-I class 3D Surveillance Radar; 
- Ulsan-I class Hull Mounted Sonar;
- Chiron VSHORAD and Chiron MLS missile system;
- SSM-700K C-Star (Haesun) anti-ship missile system;
- Blue Shark lightweight torpedo system;
- Torpedo Accoustic Countermeasures


LIG Nex1's Chiron VSHORAD missile system in multiple launcher platform may be offered by the Koreans for the anti-aircraft missile requirement. This might be the minimum offer.
Photo taken from LIG Nex1's website. 

Samsung Thales - its close association with defense systems manufacturer Thales has helped them come up with their own systems that are currently in used in most new Korean naval vessels, and might be included in the ship offers to the Philippines, including:
- Naval Shield Integrated Combat Management System (NS-ICMS);
- Short Range Tracking Radar systems.


Samsung Thales' Naval Shield CMS may be offered with the HHI and DSME offers, although other manufacturers like Thales may have the chance to snatch the deal if it can.
Photo taken from Samsung Thales website.

Hyundai WIA - a part of the Hyundai conglomerate, this Korean machinery and tool manufacturer makes naval gun products under license from Oto Melara and Thales Nederland. The following naval guns may be offered as an alternative to the original European models:
- 76mm naval gun;
- 40mm naval gun;
- Goalkeeper CIWS. 

Besides these Korean companies, MaxDefense believes that European defense products may also be bundled as well, especially for the Navantia offer.

Thales Group may offer their TACTICOS Combat Management System and Smart-S Mk.2 3D surveillance radar system, Mirador and Sting EO Mk. 2 tracking radar system, Vigile advanced naval ESM system, the CAPTAS series (probably CAPTAS-2) of variable towed low frequency sonar. The Kingklip medium frequency hull mounted sonar may not be fit for offer as the PN is looking for a low-frequency sonar.


The Thales CAPTAS series of low frequency towed array sonars may be offered as part of the sonar system requirements of the PN.
Photo taken from Thales Group website.


MBDA Systems may also provide missile systems for the frigates, which may include the MM40 Exocet Blk. 2 or 3 AShM system, the Mistral VSHORAD missile system and associated multiple launching system, and the VL-MICA air defense system if the PN can still afford.


The Exocet series of AShM systems may be among those included in one of the offers to the PN.
Photo taken from MBDA website.

Italian naval gun system manufacturer Oto Melara may probably be approached to supply the 76mm Super Rapid gun in case the PN rejects a possible offer of the Hyundai WIA version. 


Oto Melara's 76mm Super Rapid gun may be the gun of choice by the PN but may find competition from its Korean version from Hyundai WIA.

There is also a strong chance that Israeli systems, like those offered by Israel Aircraft Industries, IAI-Elta and Elbit Systems, may also be used as an option. There were previous reports that Israeli companies may tie-up with Korean shipbuilders for an offer to the PN under this project, and this may be the case should the PN opt to use non-Korean systems. These may include the ELM-series of naval radar systems, ELK-series communications and signal systems, Gabriel 5 and Barak missile series, and the Typhoon stabilized gun system which is where the Mk. 38 Mod. 2 system is based. 


Israel's Barak-1 short range air defense missile system also fits the bill of the PN's requirement, and even exceeds the requirement.

American and British defense manufacturers may also be offered but may have difficulty in getting a contract due to cost issues. Boeing's Harpoon Block II AShM system might be a strong contender due to its strong choice for the other PN frigate that will be installed with AShM systems - the Gregorio del Pilar-class. Raytheon's Rolling Airframe Missile (RAM) system may also be retained with the HDF-3000 frigate design. If gas turbine engines will be considered for the designs, General Electric's LM2500 and Rolls-Royce's MT30 marine turbines will likely be the only choices.




For sure, there will be comments on this blog's commentary portion that will ask MaxDefense's opinion on which design would win. To be honest, MaxDefense doesn't know yet. The fight is close enough as all parties are putting in their best foot forward. This would only get better if some unconfirmed information MaxDefense got recently that the purchase of ammunition would be separated from the project is true and free up some more for the frigate itself. Not only that, there are already confirmed information that the DND and PN are already discussing the possibility of allocating funds for a follow-up 3rd frigate, together with additional capabilities to the entire ship class.

With all these possibilities coming up, we are looking at an exciting frigate program. MaxDefense will be posting more updates on this very important acquisition project as it shows major movements in the coming weeks.

==========
UPDATES:
==========
May 16, 2014
DND confirmed early this month that 2 more bidders were qualified to submit their proposals for the PN frigate acquisition project. These are Garden Reach S&E of India and STX France SA. They were given only until this month to provide the details of their proposal to the PN and its hired consultants.

======
August 10, 2014:
The DND formally allowed the release of information regarding changes on the bidding to the media. Philstar was the first to report that the DND decided to divide the Php 18 billion Frigate Acquisition project into 2 parts: the Frigate acquisition at Php 15.5 billion, and the weapons systems for Php 2.5 billion. 

These changes free the bidders of the burden to negotiate the procurement of the weapons systems, which should have been the responsibility of the end user's government. Foreign governments especially those of the American and Western powers, need congressional / parliament approval on the transfer of weapons systems, especially offensive and advanced weapons systems like anti-ship and anti-aircraft missiles as it may affect the balance of power in the region. The source's government may also look on other issues, like human rights standing and violations, payment schemes, trade issues, lobbying powers, relations with neighboring countries and its effects, and others. 

There is a possibility that the bidders themselves asked for the changes since they cannot acquire the weapons systems on behalf of the Philippine government.

This would be further discussed in a separate MaxDefense blog entry due to its strong effects on the current bidding.

Philippine Navy Modernization Projects

Philippine Air Force Modernization Projects